Insights
Fri 12/16/11 3:33 PM – ECB Finding a Back-Door Strategy to Prop Up Sovereign Debt
The European Central Bank (ECB) has refused to loan money directly to governments in order to bail them out or to buy more than limited quantities of their bonds. It has, however found a back-door way of doing the same. It is offering unlimited 3-year loans to banks...
Fri 12/16/11 9:46 AM – Is Consumer Price Index Right?
Today the CPI was reported as being flat from last year. What? - you say, how can that be since I pay more for things than I did last year? The answer is a little complex but simply put, because of the tremendous incentive for the government to understate the CPI - it...
Thu 12/15/11 11:20 AM – What is the Cost of Your 401k Plan?
There is a new government requirement that employers with a 401k plan disclose to participants the costs. If you are an employer, you need to look at your plan to find out the costs and see if they are as low as they should be. For the majority of people reading this...
Thus 12/15/11 11:05 AM – Real Unemployment is Much Worse
I ran across a very interesting article at this address http://seekingalpha.com/article/313733-what-is-the-real-unemployment-rate?source=email_macro_view&ifp=0 The article makes the point that if the same number of people were looking for work today as in 2007 the...
Thu 12/15/11 10:00 AM – Gold Drops 15%
Gold is now off 15% from its recent highs. As you know, I have an automatic sell rule when a security drops 15% so we will be selling gold. However, I like gold for the long term and see buying it back again at lower levels. It can go another 10-15% lower as people...
Thu 12/15/11 9:58 AM – Markets Bounce on Good US Economic Data
After 8 days of a declining market, stocks bounced higher in Europe and the US. In Europe, there is little reason to bounce other than simply technical trading reasons. Italian bond yields have spiked higher again after a very brief respite below 6%. The more people...
Mon 12/12/11 4:04 PM – Disappointment Over EU Summit Pulls Down Markets
European markets were down 2-3% today while US markets finished down 1.5%. Most likely the cause, and despite the pronouncements of the media, one can only be sure that the reporter will oversimplify the reason and perhaps get it totally wrong, the most likely main...
Fri 12/9/11 4:03 PM – Can Europe Move Off Center Stage?
I think US stocks would move higher if Europe can be removed from center stage. The question is, "can it?" Can Europe take a bow and let the US economy have the spotlight for a while? The agreement was reached today between all 17 Eurozone countries and all but one EU...
Wed 12/7/12 5:03 PM – December Newsletter is Posted
The Dec newsletter is posted now. Look at the top of the home page for the Newsletter tab and click on the most current one. I always appreciate feedback.
Wed 12/7/11 9:36 AM – Collapse of Euro Would Devastate Banks, German Exports
One thing that no one is really talking about was mentioned on the CNBC web site today and that is the effect the collapse of the European Union into separate countries again would have on the stronger countries in the Eurozone and on banks. If countries like Greece,...
Questions?
Follow us!