Insights
Mon 12/12/11 4:04 PM – Disappointment Over EU Summit Pulls Down Markets
European markets were down 2-3% today while US markets finished down 1.5%. Most likely the cause, and despite the pronouncements of the media, one can only be sure that the reporter will oversimplify the reason and perhaps get it totally wrong, the most likely main...
Fri 12/9/11 4:03 PM – Can Europe Move Off Center Stage?
I think US stocks would move higher if Europe can be removed from center stage. The question is, "can it?" Can Europe take a bow and let the US economy have the spotlight for a while? The agreement was reached today between all 17 Eurozone countries and all but one EU...
Wed 12/7/12 5:03 PM – December Newsletter is Posted
The Dec newsletter is posted now. Look at the top of the home page for the Newsletter tab and click on the most current one. I always appreciate feedback.
Wed 12/7/11 9:36 AM – Collapse of Euro Would Devastate Banks, German Exports
One thing that no one is really talking about was mentioned on the CNBC web site today and that is the effect the collapse of the European Union into separate countries again would have on the stronger countries in the Eurozone and on banks. If countries like Greece,...
Tue 12/6/11 10:34 PM – Ratings Agencies and the Eurozone
The stock market acts like it wants to go higher but yesterday's announcement that ratings agency S&P has put 15 European nations on negative credit watch chopped a nice rally in half. Of the 17 Eurozone nations only Cyprus and Greece escaped being included - Cyprus...
Mon 12/5/11 3:53 PM – Is the Europe News Cycle Different this Time?
For about two years now we have had a strong pattern repeated several times in which the stock markets in the US and Europe go down on worries over Europe, go up on hopeful announcements of measures to deal with the crisis only to see European leaders under-deliver....
Fri 12/2/11 2:48 PM – Unemployment #s and Social Security, Medicare
While the unemployment rate dropped to 8.6% from 9%, the participation rate, i.e. those of working age that are actually working dropped in this report to 62.3%, the lowest level since 1984. Put another way, the ratio of those working compared to those that are not...
Fri 12/2/11 8:59 AM – Unemployment Rate Drops
The government reported today that the unemployment rate dropped this month from 9% to 8.6%. That's a huge drop for one month so it may be revised upward later. What many people don't realize is that the reported unemployment rate includes a lot of adjustments for...
Thu 12/1/11 4:10 PM – Consolidation Day
Nothing much to report today. As is the norm, the market was flat today, digesting yesterday's gains as they say. There was not much news aside from company-specific news other than that China's manufacturing report came in below breakeven, meaning manufacturing there...
Wed 11/30/11 3:22 PM – France is Downgraded by Egan-Jones, Banks Downgraded by S&P
Tiny but I think the best ratings firm Egan-Jones today downgraded France's credit rating and put it on negative credit watch. S&P and Moody's still have it AAA but E-J had already cut it to AA- and reduced that today to A. S&P "too big to fail" bank credit downgrades...
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