Insights
Thursday, August 4, 2011 4:47 PM – Selloff Steepens into Close
What a nasty day in the stock market! After bouncing off support the selling resumed and got much worse in the last hour. The S&P 500 index was -4.8% for the day. All indexes are now in negative territory for 2011. Even gold and silver were down today as were oil and...
Thursday, August 4, 2011 2:22 PM – Panic Selling Appearing
As I wrote this morning, the big thing driving the market down has been European selling to raise cash. Today, we started to see signs of panic selling as they are selling even the winners like gold. That is usually the last step in declining a market, though it can...
Thursday, August 4, 2011 10:25 AM – Why Stocks are Down
Stocks are roughly 1.5%-2% lower again today in the US and Europe. China was mixed, Japan up slightly and the rest of Asia down 1.2%. Interest rates are lower, gold is up 2% . . . stop me if you've heard this before. Q - Why are stocks continuing to drop? A - European...
Wednesday, August 3, 2011 4:35 PM – Market Rally & Outlook
The S&P 500 stock index finished 0.5% higher after dipping slightly below the 1240 level I said yesterday was key support. Nasdaq and small stocks were up more. Bonds had another good day. Gold and other commodities were down slightly. Fear has gotten fairly high....
Wednesday, August 3, 2011 4:10 PM – Muni Scare
Are municipal bonds about to plunge in price? Meredith Whitney and some others think so. I don’t think so. First, let’s hear the bears’ case. “There are about 45,000 municipal-bond issues in existence, with a market value of about $1.3 trillion, according to June 30...
Wednesday, August 3, 2011 1:51 PM – How Slow is the Economy?
The primary driver of this 10% correction in stocks has been the slowing economy here and around the world (see chart at Tuesday, 7:54 AM). How slow is it? Take a look at the chart below that plots wages, employment & production. This plots the % change, not the...
Wednesday August 3, 2011 9:03 AM – Misc. Notes
US STOCKS will open slightly higher this morning but Asia and Europe are lower again and we'll have to see how this little bounce goes. Despite the sharp drop the last two weeks, markets are not deeply oversold. Volume has been heavy on selling and light on rally...
Tuesday, August 2, 2011 4:32 PM – Fear in Stocks, Good for Bonds
Stocks finished -2.1 (DJIA) to -3.26% (small stocks) lower. The S&P 500 is now negative on the year, excluding dividends of about 1.2%. Bonds were higher again as was gold, up 2.4%. The US dollar was also up which seems odd with slowing growth and mounting debt. But,...
Tuesday, August 2, 2011 7:54 AM – New Euro Debt Problems, Credit Downgrade?, Slowing World Manufacturing Growth
Stock futures before the open are down -0.4%. World markets are down -0.5% - -1.0%. There are 3 main worries this AM. (1) Fresh major troubles in the European debt crisis. According to London's venerable Financial Times, "Benchmark 10-year bond yields reached 6.46 per...
Monday August 1, 2011 5:10 PM
Markets indexes finished down about 0.4% on average, even though it was apparent by 3:30 that the House would approve the debt ceiling bill. Stocks had been down over 1% mid-morning. Attention has shifted to the really poor economic #s of late. There is even...
Questions?
Follow us!